Experts on Monday voiced grave concern over landing of an Indian missile in Pakistani territory and warned that India’s irresponsible attitude could lead to nuclear escalation in the already fraught security environment in South Asia.

They were speaking at the “Strategic Get-to-Know” seminar hosted by Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS) Islamabad, according to a press release issued by think tank.

The event was participated by research teams of CISS Islamabad, CISS Sindh, Strategic Vision Institute, Balochistan Think Tank Network (BTTN).

CISS Islamabad Executive Director Ambassador Ali Sarwar Naqvi, while opening the seminar, noted that stability and peace in South Asia remained a core strategic interest of Pakistan.

Speaking about the incident of India’s accidental launch of missile on March 9, Dr Naeem Salik, a nuclear expert, argued that it had raised the dangers of nuclear escalation in South Asia. He highlighted that the incident had exposed the credibility of Brahmos missile and urged the international community to investigate India’s fabricated story of the incident.

Dr Zafar Khan, Executive Director BTTN, remarked that it was unprecedented that a nuclear state had fired a nuclear-capable missile onto the territory of another nuclear weapon state, claiming it an accident. Only Pakistan’s pragmatism had saved the region from a disaster, he added.

Dr Asma Shakir Khawaja, an academic, argued that the March 9 incident reflected a profound level of incompetence in handling of sensitive weapons among Indian forces. The incapacity to handle advanced weapons systems, along with multiple cases of nuclear thefts in India, constituted to irresponsible behaviour that endangered regional as well as global security, she added.

She further questioned India’s commitment to existing confidence building measures with Pakistan, as it chose not to timely share the details of accidental launch that could lead to escalation of crisis to nuclear level.

Other speakers emphasized that the missile incident spoke of India’s irresponsible nuclear behaviour. While some countries continued to praise India’s nuclear programme and its command and control system, the March 9 incident had busted the myth, they maintained.

Warning of the indications that nuclear thinking in India was in the hands of extremist elements, the speakers cautioned against ignoring the possibility of India’s nuclear weapons falling into the hands of rogue elements. This fear, they asserted, had been compounded in the aftermath of RSS driven aggressive strategic mindset.

The discussants observed that Pakistan was a reluctant entrant in nuclear weapons club and only developed the weapons to address the existential threat from its eastern neighbour. Pakistan’s nuclear deterrent capability, they said, was a guarantor of its national security and preservation of freedom.

“Pakistan’s nuclear capability is purely defensive, seeks full spectrum deterrence and is based on the principle of credible minimum deterrence,” the discussants said. India had, meanwhile, continued to explore space for limited war under the nuclear overhang through offensive military strategies like the Cold Start Doctrine and proactive operations strategy.

In this hostile strategic environment, they said, the onus of responsibility to maintain strategic stability “lies on Pakistan and it remains committed to achieve this objective”.

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Mr Syed Ali Abbas

Research Officer/ Comm Officer/ Managing Editor CISS Insight

Syed Ali Abbas is a Research Officer/Communication Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad. Previously, he served as an associate editor at Indus News Network. His areas of interest include Middle East politics, military modernization, foreign policy, and nuclear politics. He has contributed to various platforms, including The National Interest, South Asian Voices, and others.

Dr Anum Riaz

Associate Director Research

Dr. Anum Riaz is the Associate Director Research at the Center for International Strategic Studies, Islamabad. She holds a Ph.D. in Political Science from the Department of Political Science at Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan. She also possesses M.Phil. and M.Sc. degrees from the Department of Defence and Strategic Studies at Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. Additionally, she has taught BS and Master’s students at the Department of Political Science at Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan. Her areas of interest include strategic studies, international relations, international nuclear politics, the nuclear non-proliferation regime, arms control and disarmament, as well as traditional and non-traditional security issues.

Dr Bilal Zubair

Director Research

Dr. Bilal Zubair has worked as an Assistant Professor at the National Defence University Islamabad and Lecturer at the National University of Science and Technology. He holds a Ph.D. and M. Phil. in International Relations from Quaid-e-Azam University, Islamabad. Dr. Zubair is author of the book Chinese Soft Power and Public Diplomacy in the United States (Palgrave Macmillan, 2024) and contributed to several journal articles and book chapters focusing on soft power, diplomacy, and China’s role in international relations.

His research has been published in various academic journals, and he has presented at international conferences Dr. Zubair has also been an active reviewer and editorial board member. His professional interests include great power politics, and the role of communication in global diplomacy.

Mr Mobeen Jafar Mir

Research Officer

Mobeen Jafar Mir is a Research Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad. His research focuses on U.S. foreign policy, particularly in the areas of strategy, technology, and arms control. He is currently pursuing an M.Phil. in International Relations at the School of Politics and International Relations, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. He can be found on Twitter @jafar_mobeen.

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