Abstract

The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine provides us with evidence of the importance of cyberweapons in modern warfare. Cyberweapons are thickening the fog of war, creating new avenues for inter-state competition. As India and Pakistan have been engaged in a rivalry for the past seventy-five years, cyberweapons can play an important role in the future of this enmity. This research signifies the ramification of cyberweapons on strategic stability between two nuclear armed states. Cyberweapons are exacerbating risks to nuclear weapons that can lead to both advertent and inadvertent nuclear escalation. The question addressed in this paper is Why Pakistan and India need to manage their rivalry in the domain of cyberwarfare? The methodology used for this research is qualitative with both primary and secondary data sources. This research has utilized case study research design with taking India-Pakistan relations as the case. There are two potential pathways for India and Pakistan to manage their rivalry in cyber domain. These are cyber deterrence and cyber CBMs. However, shortcomings are attached to both pathways and only by taking them together they can complement each other and work as risk reduction measures. Both these pathways are explained, and a way forward is provided that can be undertaken by India and Pakistan to reduce the risks posed in the cyber domain.

The final draft is accessible on the link: https://ciss.org.pk/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Cyber-Deterrence-and-CBMs.pdf

This article was published in the Journal of Asian and African Studies. the final version is accessible on the link: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/00219096251332932

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Mr Syed Ali Abbas

Research Officer/ Comm Officer/ Managing Editor CISS Insight

Syed Ali Abbas is a Research Officer/Communication Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad. Previously, he served as an associate editor at Indus News Network. His areas of interest include Middle East politics, military modernization, foreign policy, and nuclear politics. He has contributed to various platforms, including The National Interest, South Asian Voices, and others.

Dr Anum Riaz

Associate Director Research

Dr. Anum Riaz is the Associate Director Research at the Center for International Strategic Studies, Islamabad. She holds a Ph.D. in Political Science from the Department of Political Science at Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan. She also possesses M.Phil. and M.Sc. degrees from the Department of Defence and Strategic Studies at Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. Additionally, she has taught BS and Master’s students at the Department of Political Science at Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan. Her areas of interest include strategic studies, international relations, international nuclear politics, the nuclear non-proliferation regime, arms control and disarmament, as well as traditional and non-traditional security issues.

Dr Bilal Zubair

Director Research

Dr. Bilal Zubair has worked as an Assistant Professor at the National Defence University Islamabad and Lecturer at the National University of Science and Technology. He holds a Ph.D. and M. Phil. in International Relations from Quaid-e-Azam University, Islamabad. Dr. Zubair is author of the book Chinese Soft Power and Public Diplomacy in the United States (Palgrave Macmillan, 2024) and contributed to several journal articles and book chapters focusing on soft power, diplomacy, and China’s role in international relations.

His research has been published in various academic journals, and he has presented at international conferences Dr. Zubair has also been an active reviewer and editorial board member. His professional interests include great power politics, and the role of communication in global diplomacy.

Mr Mobeen Jafar Mir

Research Officer

Mobeen Jafar Mir is a Research Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad. His research focuses on U.S. foreign policy, particularly in the areas of strategy, technology, and arms control. He is currently pursuing an M.Phil. in International Relations at the School of Politics and International Relations, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. He can be found on Twitter @jafar_mobeen.

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