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Pakistan Covid-19 Update: Current Trends and Future Projections

Riaz khokarBy Riaz khokar
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Since July 1st, the infection fatality and positivity rates of COVID-19 have started to decrease gradually in Pakistan, and the positive curve has more or less flattened since August. Data suggests that the number of positive cases depends on several important factors, including a government’s uninterrupted intervention, the public’s compliance with standard operating procedures (SOPs), and antibodies developed because of the exposure to the infectious diseases (seroprevalence). It is difficult to assess the degree to which these factors have contributed to Pakistan’s flattening curve. However, given current preliminary findings, Pakistan’s positive cases may rise again as a result of increased interpersonal contact if the public does not follow SOPs, the governments lifts targeted lockdowns, and people potentially become re-infected.

[/vc_column_text][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/4″][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/2″][vc_btn title=”Read the Full Article” color=”primary” size=”lg” align=”center” button_block=”true” link=”url:https%3A%2F%2Fciss.org.pk%2FPDFs%2FPakistan-COVID-19-Update_Riaz-Khokhar.pdf||target:%20_blank|”][/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner width=”1/4″][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_column_text]This article was published in the South Asian Voices (SAV) on October 09, 2020.
https://southasianvoices.org/pakistan-covid-19-update-current-trends-and-future-projections/

 

Riaz Khokhar

Mr. Riaz Khokhar is a Research Assistant at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad.

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Mr Riaz A. Khokhar
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Mr Riaz Khokhar was Research Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad, Pakistan. He was also an Asia Studies Visiting Fellow at the East-West Center in Washington in 2019. His research interests are geopolitics and strategy, foreign policy, nuclear politics, and strategic stability issues in South Asia. His analysis has appeared in peer-reviewed journals CISS Insight and the Asia Pacific Issues, and opinion platforms, including Atlantic Council’s South Asia Source, Stimson Center’s South Asian Voices, The National Interest, The Diplomat, Asia Pacific Bulletin, The News International, Newsweek Pakistan, and 9Dashline. He has also made speaking engagements at a public seminar in East-West Center in Washington and webinars of Stimson Center and Asian Institute of Diplomacy and International Affairs.

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Syed Ali Abbas is a Research Officer/Communication Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad. Previously, he served as an associate editor at Indus News Network. His areas of interest include Middle East politics, military modernization, foreign policy, and nuclear politics. He has contributed to various platforms, including The National Interest, South Asian Voices, and others.

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Dr. Anum Riaz is the Associate Director Research at the Center for International Strategic Studies, Islamabad. She holds a Ph.D. in Political Science from the Department of Political Science at Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan. She also possesses M.Phil. and M.Sc. degrees from the Department of Defence and Strategic Studies at Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. Additionally, she has taught BS and Master’s students at the Department of Political Science at Bahauddin Zakariya University, Multan. Her areas of interest include strategic studies, international relations, international nuclear politics, the nuclear non-proliferation regime, arms control and disarmament, as well as traditional and non-traditional security issues.

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Dr. Bilal Zubair has worked as an Assistant Professor at the National Defence University Islamabad and Lecturer at the National University of Science and Technology. He holds a Ph.D. and M. Phil. in International Relations from Quaid-e-Azam University, Islamabad. Dr. Zubair is author of the book Chinese Soft Power and Public Diplomacy in the United States (Palgrave Macmillan, 2024) and contributed to several journal articles and book chapters focusing on soft power, diplomacy, and China’s role in international relations.

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Mobeen Jafar Mir is a Research Officer at the Center for International Strategic Studies (CISS), Islamabad. His research focuses on U.S. foreign policy, particularly in the areas of strategy, technology, and arms control. He is currently pursuing an M.Phil. in International Relations at the School of Politics and International Relations, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad. He can be found on Twitter @jafar_mobeen.